Apex Weather

St. John Valley weather for Jan. 26-Feb. 1, 2022

Three-day outlook: Wednesday-Friday

A ridge of Arctic air will build into the Valley today with temperatures only reaching around 0 degrees for a high in Fort Kent and falling into the minus-25- to minus-30-degree range tonight across northern Maine.

High pressure crests over the region in the morning then moves southeast as the day progresses. Temperatures recover into the teens Thursday with increasing clouds in the afternoon as a warm front lifts across the region ahead of an approaching cold front that will move through Thursday night/early Friday. Little moisture is associated with the front and only scattered snow shower activity with an inch or less of accumulation is anticipated. The front will move to the east and stall out Friday night.

Today and Tonight

Partly cloudy this morning then mostly clear with a 5 percent chance for isolated snow showers. High near 1 degrees. Northwest wind 5-10 mph. Wind chill values around minus 20 to minus 25 degrees.

Tonight, clear and very cold with a low around minus 26 degrees. West-southwest wind near calm.

Thursday, Jan. 27

Partly cloudy in the morning then mostly cloudy in the afternoon with a high around 10 degrees. South wind 5-10 mph.

Thursday night, mostly cloudy with a low near 5 degrees. 40 percent chance for snow showers after midnight. Little accumulation expected. South wind 5-10 mph.

Friday, Jan. 28

Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance for snow showers. Little accumulation expected. High around 16 degrees. Wind becoming north 5-10 mph.

Friday night, mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for snow after midnight. Low around minus 5 degrees with north wind 0-7 mph.

Four- to seven-day outlook: Saturday-Tuesday

Attention turns to a strengthening low pressure system moving towards the Canadian Maritimes in the western Atlantic Saturday. While models are not consistent with regards to the precise track and strength of the low, a track further east across the Maritimes will result in less snow for the region while a track further west closer to Downeast Maine will have a greater impact with regards to snow, wind, etc. on the state.

Additionally, the degree of intensification of the system will also influence snowfall totals and wind strength. Currently, snow is likely Saturday evening through Sunday morning with snow tapering off Sunday afternoon and ending Sunday night.

Behind this weekend’s system, temperatures and conditions will be closer to normal for this time of year as high pressure builds in with partly cloudy skies and dry conditions Monday and Tuesday.

Saturday, Jan. 29

Partly sunny in the morning then increasing clouds in the afternoon a 60 percent chance for snow. High near 10 degrees with north wind 8-14 mph.

Saturday night, mostly cloudy with an 80 percent chance for snow. Low near 4 degrees. North wind 15-22 mph.

Sunday, Jan. 30

Cloudy with a 50 percent chance for snow. High near 12 degrees. Northwest wind 8-14 mph.

Sunday night, partly cloudy with a 5 percent chance for snow shower. Low near minus 7 degrees. West wind 8-14 mph.

Monday, Jan. 31

Partly cloudy to mostly sunny with a high near 16 degrees. West wind 0-7 mph.

Partly cloudy with a low around minus 3 degrees. Southwest wind 0-7 mph.

Tuesday, Feb. 1

Partly cloudy with a high near 21 degrees West wind 0-7 mph.

Tuesday night, partly to mostly cloudy with a low near 7 degrees. South wind 0-7 mph.

Eight- to 14-day trends: Tuesday, Feb. 1-Monday, Feb. 7
Climate Prediction Center

Above normal temperatures / Above normal precipitation

Note: Computer model precision diminishes the further into the week the forecast projects. Check the Fiddlehead Focus for weather updates with more current information.

The Week Ahead is the work of UMFK Professor Joseph E. Becker based on personal weather station data, various computer forecast models, and information that the National Weather Service, NOAA, and other weather resources provide.

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